Good Morning Bloggers. Happy Father’s Day! Make it a great one.
In honor of Dad’s Day, here’s a pic of my dad…and mom…and all 11 kids. It was taken Friday Night at my parents’ 50th anniversary party. We go oldest to youngest left to right! Someone call awkwardfamilyphotos.com!
The last time we were all together was 3 years ago…hence our enthusiasm for this family photo.
The highest threat for organized severe weather this afternoon will be just ahead of a warm front and east of a surface low near the South Dakota/Minnesota border today. Instability here will climb this afternoon,and wind shear profiles are favorable for “initially discrete supercells with a risk for very large hail…and a risk for tornadoes in the 5pm-9pm timeframe” as described by the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman, OK.
The SPC has also issued a “Public Severe Weather Outlook” for this area as they do when they believe it may turn into a dangerous situation.
As for KC, we’ll have a good amount of instability to work with as well, so with any t-storms that get going, there is an outside chance for an isolated severe t-storm pulsing up and back down. All in all for KC, a few isolated/widely scattered t-storms would be possible 2pm – 8pm.
Forecasting models aren’t predicting widespread heavy rain in KC later today. Many of these models, however, do not have the resolution to pick out heavy rainfall amounts that fall over very small areas, which would be possible.
While most of us had no rain last night, a very isolated area of Vernon County pushed nearly 7″, prompting ongoing flood warnings for creeks in that area.
In the outside chance any strong t-storms do erupt anywhere near KC, we’ll have an update for you. Otherwise, have a great Father’s Day!