Great Thanksgiving Day Weather, Then What?

Good morning bloggers,

I just took Sunny The Weather Dog out for a morning walk and the weather was so nice.   It is 15 degrees warmer than it was yesterday morning, and temperatures will surge to near 60 degrees today, Thanksgiving Day, and also on Saturday.  There are two storm systems we are tracking:


The energy for the first storm system is forecast to be near Nevada on Thanksgiving morning, as you can see above.  The energy for the stronger, much stronger, second storm is in the Gulf of Alaska off the Pacific northwest coast tomorrow.  With the energy still way out there, the final solution is far from being resolved.  There will be some rain from the first system on Friday, and the second storm is likely going to produce a small blizzard north and west of the upper level storms center.  Here  are four different solutions for the second storm:

Solution #1:  FV3 GFS:


Solution #2:  European Model



Solution #3:  UKMET Model


Solution #4:  Canadian Model


The models trended farther north last night.  We are four full days away from this storm.  If the trend continues north, then KC will only have a wind storm from this system while Iowa has the blizzard.  If it trends farther south, then KC will have a  much better chance of getting hit with higher snow impacts.  It is still four days away, so we have a lot of time for this to trend south again.  Suggestion: Look at the models if you desire, and do not make any conclusions until we start getting some consistency.

For today, let’s take a deep breath and share in this weather experience.  It has been a cold November with 2.0″ of snow already in the KC metro area.  Have a great day and join in the conversation on the Weather2020 blog.


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