All clear for now

Did you like last evening’s batch of rain?

Below are the rainfall totals.  It was enough to wet the pavement. 

Things are looking nice this afternoon…light winds, sunshine low-mid 80s.  Enjoy the day!  Today will be our 4th consecutive, cooler-than-average day.   But don’t worry, the 90s will return:

My forecast has them returning as early as Tuesday afternoon.  Below is the forecast mid-upper air flow pattern for mid-week.  Our familiar summertime ridge pattern builds back over the southwest…

Temperatures respond by warming up.  Over the desert southwest, heat may be tempered by monsoon t-storms.  Did you know, that the subject of Phoenix’s monsoon season actually being a literal monsoon is up for debate…as the bump up in rain during the late summer may not correlate with the exact definition of a monsoon?  One of my colleagues at UCLA focused her research on this subject matter and referred to the southwest monsoon with exaggerated quotation mark gestures with her fingers.

Anyhow, the ridge impacts the western half of the US.  Our result: 90s return to KC…fair game Tuesday-Saturday.  But toward the end of the week, it’ll hinge on any rain chances.

As an upper low tracks north of KC this weekend, changes may arrive in the form of a couple opportunities for rain:

 
Disturbances tracking around this disturbances have the potential to clip over KC.   The result: rain/t-storms Thursday night into Friday morning…and again on Saturday…possibly even Sunday.  We’ll know more as we get closer, but if we can get the dewpoints to rise to the upper 60s by Thursday, there is the potential for a good soaking rain over 1/2″ Thursday night.  Take this information with caution, as we’ll need a few factors to line up.  But we’ll be watching!

Have a good Sunday, feel free to send me your weather pics!  kshb.com/pics

-GW

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