…100s return today. And the heat builds through early next week, hence our latest excessive heat warning through Wednesday.
Let’s get through the weekend, first:
Yesterday’s high, only 96 degrees felt nice, didn’t it? By Monday, Summer’s back to its old tricks:
The upper ridge, shown by the big blue H, centers over KC. Remember, on a plot like this, the white lines represent heights. They’re like elevation contours on a terrain map, except they show the height of a constant pressure surface. The white line that sort of encircles KC represents 5940 meters above sea level is the point where the pressure has dropped off to 500 mb, roughly half what it is near earth’s surface.
Plots like this are good at pinpointing large scale weather patterns…i.e. the hot one centered right over KC. Summer Bummer continues.
I think we could make it to around 108 early next week…with the ridge dampening by next weekend bringing 90s. But 100s are in the forecast for the next 7 days! Keep cool!
As bloggers, you’re getting the first look at weekend weather trivia:
Today would be a great day to win 4 Schlitterbahn tickets! Enter now!
-GW
Nice morning. Dropped all the way down to 67 near downtown OP. Second coolest morning in July.
Have to say, I think Gary is reaching a bit talking about the lrc here…I mean, come on, forecasting persistence during a July drought hardly requires some new special theory. It’s what every met is forecasting.
More on the lrc: Gary says he expects another big high to form which is “stronger than the current one.” how does the lrc predict that? What in the lrc tells you that one “recurrence” of the upper ridge will be stronger than another?
And, I’m sure this is of the most interest to most people, what does the lrc tell you about when this pattern will break down and be replaced by another? We don’t need the lrc to tell us it’s going to be hot and dry for a while…we all know that.
Final note, that 600 dm high is nowhere to be found in the last two gfs runs…
George, Gary wrong? 110sare totally gone in the 7 day now. I for one am glad!
Great points, R-Dub.
Additionally…in the first week of June, we saw several near-record LOW temps in/around KC…and throughout the mid-section of the country…and the theory claims this year’s cycle is around 45 days long…so that means that near-record cold part of the cycle should be returning right around…now?
?
I,m a little confused w/ todays trivia question? Are you asking what the average temps.were during the entire event,or any one perticular day,or maybe what the average temps.for each summer thru the last 100yrs.etc..etc..?
@ tuschchaser…average summer temperature…generally speaking, the hottest city during the summer months to host the olympics
With out any references,Atlanta?
I would say Athens…that place is hottt
Glad, my family is leaving Monday to go to Florida!!
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108s gone? Keep lowering it KSHB! I want it to be under 105 on Sunday’s 7 day!
Don’t think we are going to make 100 today, with current temps and east winds it may be a push to get to 97.
Im gonna go out on a limb and say cool down coming soon the atmosphere has to stir hot air always rises going to eventually push down bottled up cool canadian air!!
I don’t think this coming week is going to be any hotter than last week, not that it matters it’s still going to be hot. I definetly can’t recall this kind of extended heat since I was a kid in 1980.
By the way we’re not going to make it to 100 today in Olathe either.
If there’s anyone still out there who believes Gary’s claims for long range accuracy forecasts and the existence of his self glossed LRC….I would hope the last blog and his responses would be eye opening. Unreal. Almost Foxnewsish.
And once again all the 108′s disappear on the long ranger. What’s the point of the hype?
Tough crowd today. Must be the heat.
Hype mkes media money because the more people are scared, the more likely they are to not only watch the news more, but also tell everyone they know to watch the news as well. Viewers = more cash flow. Also, Gary’s well bragged about 3 degree warranty and WeatherRate accuracy ratings do not apply until the morning of the day forecasted, so it has no consequece to him to mix the pot a bit!
Rates that TV stations can charge for commercials are set by the Nielsen ratings returns. More viewers during ratings periods helps. Ratings periods are in February, May and November. Daily viewers does not affect the money flow.
Gary predicts the next day’s high for his Three Degree Warranty. So he does that during his 10pm newscast, then whether he hits it is determined by the next day’s high. Therefore, it truly does matter what he predicts during the 10pm news.
As for WeatheRate, that isn’t won daily, but within a year’s time.
I’m not disputing that television news in general has hype at times.
As for weather forecasting, I remember one time Gary said it would start snowing at 3pm and it started at 2:30. But instead of thinking Wow, Gary blew it, I realized how amazing it was he could get it that close. The weather is complex, the earth is complex. I think we should give the LRC some respect, and see the overall results in a broader time period, perhaps ten years of LRC predictions vs actual.
Stay cool and remember to drink lots of water.