Good Morning Bloggers:
The upper summer ridge centers over KC tomorrow. It heats up in response! Near 106 Monday through Wednesday. Drought conditions worsen and high fire danger is with us as vegetation is dry and ready to burn.
The upper ridge is shown below…centered by the big blue H. The map’s forecast time is Monday afternoon.
The large scale flow pattern will then shift slightly for the end of the week. As the upper ridge shifts south and weakens…shown by the GFS forecast below for early Thursday morning…:
1. The heat loses it’s grip and Thursday may be able to dip into the mid 90s. (Yes, I said “dip into the mid-90s”)
2. An upper wave tracking through may help trigger t-storms. Rain would be possible both early Thursday morning and again after noon. While isolated heavy amounts could be possible, most people would see light amounts.
Let’s hope this rain ends up materializing and being more of a soaker than I am predicting. Nonetheless, any break from the heat, although small, will likely be short lived…with the heat re-intensifying back into early August. 
Try and keep cool, I’ll have an update at 5pm.
-GW
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=It7107ELQvY#t=41s. This is the song of day.
George,
Maybe you can answer my questions. How long do you think that this heat will last? Will have to wait till September for normal temps to return? I know that we are in a weird pattern but when do think something strong enough will come along and break this up?
I there is something showing up on long ranger but how long will that last?
Megan
You weather guys have been showing the rainfall deficit since April 1, but I believe that the rain / precip really started to shut off around June 1 or July 1 last year. Any idea how much we are running behine from that time frame until now?
I recall around June 1st of 2011 being the last decent rain before these periods of droughts started to occur during the last 14 months. A few normal rain events from November to March but our biggest by a 2 to 1 margin was 3.55 in March.
I remember mentioning a start of a drought back in mid April on here but I had no idea it would be worse than last summer! Our trees haven’t recovered from last year even and now about half are in trouble. It hit 111 on one hot day down here last summer and many trees started a downward spiral after that. I hope we don’t get near that again because they weren’t as stressed as last year compared to now. Already lost a few pin oaks and now healthy maples are on the edge. I tried to water everything hard last week to get them ready for this upcoming week. I don’t even want to think about a third wave in August.
The long range European model says it’s going to cool off . . . In October, damn Euro’s