FREEZE WARNING LATER TONIGHT for areas just north and northeast of Kansas City!
Good morning bloggers,
We will be at the Nebraska Furniture Mart Saturday from noon until 3 PM for Weather Awareness Day. We hope to see you there, and you can meet our #1 storm chase team, Intercept Images (Leslie and Dean Burton) as well. They will have their chase vehicle for you to check out. Will we be having severe thunderstorms this weekend? Let’s check out this developing weather pattern in this morning’s blog entry.
A cool air mass is continuing to settle into the plains states this morning and a strong storm is developing near the west coast. The energy from this western storm will begin affecting us soon, but first we have to deal with a possible frost or freeze tonight. The last freeze officially occurred at KCI Airport on March 10th and this would tie the earliest last freeze in KC recorded history……if we don’t have a freeze tonight, which may be our last chance of one this season:
The National Weather Service has issued a FREEZE WARNING for later tonight for areas just north and northeast of Kansas City. Take a look at this morning’s 7 AM surface map:
I plotted in the freeze line, the dashed blue line. Tonight that could dip all the way down to south of Kansas City as high pressure builds in from the north. This next map shows the 6 PM surface forecast:
The center of high pressure is forecast to track out of southern Canada into the northern United States. The blued jagged line is the center of the high pressure ridge extending from the center of the high pressure area southeast to northern Mississippi. We haven’t had a freeze in a month. March 10th would tie the earliest last freeze ever recorded in Kansas City history, but there is a decent chance we could drop to 32 degrees tonight. A hard freeze would happen in areas that drop to 28 degrees or lower and this will likely happen across portions of northern Missouri. You can click on this map for a larger view.
A front is stalling over the western and southern plains and a strong storm is approaching the western United States. As the Pacific jet stream energy moves out into the plains states later in the week our severe weather risk will increase. Every six hours we have been getting very different solutions and I am going to wait to analyze the new data later this morning before I post any maps. For now, the biggest concern is this possible freeze tonight. I will write up a new blog later this afternoon or evening, so check back in. This next storm is directly related to the part of the weather pattern that produced the big tornado outbreak in early March over the Tennessee Valley. It has had my attention for weeks already and it is going to affect our region and areas to our east during the next seven days. We will go over more specific detail soon.
Have a great day and let us know if you have any questions or comments.