It still looks like we are going to get a cold blast of air on Sunday, finally giving us a taste of cold December weather. Remember, Monday of this week we set a record high when we reached 74 degrees. We have seen a lot of unusually warm weather this year and when we take all the highs and lows and average them together 2012 is on pace to be the warmest year since weather records were kept. Below is a graphic of the top 5 warmest years through December 5th.
There are some indications that the second half of the month will be very cold at times. But will it be cold enough to drop us out of the top 5 for the year? What do you think?
As for snow, there is still a chance for some flurries Sunday afternoon but it won’t accumulate. I came across this interesting graphic in our archives and thought today was a good chance to share it with it you. What are the chances we could experience a blizzard here in Kansas City? The graphic below shows the average annual chance based on 30-years of climatology.
As you can see, according to climatology, we have between a 2 and 12-percent chance in any given year of having a blizzard. A blizzard is defined as
*considerable falling and or blowing snow that frequently reduces visibility to less than a quarter mile.
*with sustained winds of 35 miles an hour or greater lasting 3 hours or more.
It is no surprise to see the northern plains and upper Missouri River Valley in the 50% to 76% range.
But to have snow we have to have a chance of precipitation and we are stuck in a drought that is now approaching 200 days. The latest drought monitor was released earlier this week and while the dry conditions have eased in some parts of the Missouri, it continues in Kansas.
Here is the Missouri graphic.
As you can see the Kansas City area remains in a moderate to severe drought. South and east of Kansas City, in the past few weeks, there has been more rain and that is why the drought concerns are easing just a bit.
If you follow the key you can tell the entire state of Kansas is either in a severe, extreme or exceptional drought. Except for one small area of Bourbon and Crawford counties. By the way, Our in house computer model spits out a whopping .09″ of an inch of rain that falls along the strong cold front early Sunday morning. Keep soaking those house foundations. A friend of mine told me that his foundation is beginning to crack so even though its not hot, its still dry and the drought continues to cause problems.
Have a great weekend!