First Blizzard Warning Since January 31, 2011

Good Sunday,

Wow! Well, the storm has trended far enough south to bring blizzard conditions to the I-70 corridor. Let’s put this in perspective. It has been 1755 days since our last 3″ snowstorm and our last Blizzard Warning was January 31, 2011. The snowiest November ever was 9.1″ in 1923 that came in one storm. We are at 1.8″,so far, this November.


Here is the time line. The snow will begin in KC from west to east between 10 AM and noon. Roads will become wet then slick. A blizzard will be ongoing northwest of KC by 11 AM. The main part of the blizzard for KC will be noon to 6 PM with snowfall rates 1″-2″ per hour and wind gusts 35-45 mph from the north. The snow ends rapidly from west to east 6-9 PM with blowing snow ending around midnight.


Here is the 915 AM radar and powercast is doing pretty well.


10 AM SUNDAY: There will be a wide range of weather conditions from northwest to southeast. A blizzard will be intensifying to the northwest with cloudy and 50° degree weather from Pleasanton to Clinton. The snow/mix will be increasing in KC from west to east.


NOON SUNDAY: Snow and blizzard conditions will be increasing from northwest to southeast. Conditions will be deteriorating in KC. It will still be in the 50s with some rain in Clinton, MO.


NOON TO 3 PM: This is the main part of the blizzard for KC with snow falling at the rate of 1″-2″ per hour, north winds gusting to 45 mph and temperatures down to the 20s. We may even have a thundersnow. Travel is not recommended. Clinton will be dropping to the low 30s and they will start seeing snow.


3 PM TO 6 PM: The snow will end from west to east with the blizzard conditions in KC winding down after 4-5 PM. Roads will be a mess with blowing and drifting snow ongoing. The blowing and drifting will mostly end by midnight.


7 AM MONDAY: The storm will be exiting Chicago while we are clear with lows around 10°. The wind will be down to 10-20 mph and there will be little blowing and drifting.


SNOWFALL FORECAST: Look at the heavy band from central Kansas to the Great Lakes. The storm is tracking far enough south to bring the blizzard conditions to the I-70 corridor.


The range across the region will be around 14″ in northwest Missouri to under 1″ around Pleasanton. KC is in the 4″-10″ zone.


4″-7″ of snow is likely south of I-70 in the KC area with 2″-4″ from Louisburg to Warrensburg.


North of I-70 in the KC area we are looking at 6″-10″ with 10″-12″ just north of that.


Stay safe and have a great week.

Jeff Penner

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