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Fire, Water and Ice..Two Big Storm Systems

Good Wednesday bloggers,

We are tracking two storm system the next 5 days. The first one is the biggest and it is really impressive. This storm will bring high winds, a blizzard and severe weather to the Rockies, plains and Midwest. The second storm is not exactly small and will bring rain and snow from the southern Plains to Midwest this weekend.

We will spend most of the blog on the first storm.

There are a myriad of watches and warnings issued for this storm.  They range from Blizzard to Fire Weather warnings.  Our area is in a Wind Advisory as we may see gusts 40-45 mph today and Thursday.

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There is a threat of severe weather tonight from northern Kansas to southeast Nebraska and far southwest Iowa. These thunderstorms will be mostly in the colder air and could produce very large hail. If any thunderstorms form in the warmer air then a tornado could be produced.  It will be hard for tornadoes as there is a lack of deep Gulf of Mexico moisture.

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The severe weather threat shifts to the eastern Midwest Thursday as deeper Gulf of Mexico moisture meets a fast moving cold front. This will be more of a line with strong winds the main threat.

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Now, how does this crazy storm affect our area?

WEDNESDAY: A deep surface low will be located in eastern Colorado with a warm front, cold front and dry line emanating from it. This creates a triple point where severe weather outbreaks are born. A severe weather outbreak will not be born this time as there is a lack of Gulf of Mexico moisture. Now, some severe weather is likely as the set up is quite good. See above. We will be windy with high clouds and highs around 80°. Temperatures will range from 90° in Dallas to the 20s and 30s in western Nebraska. A blizzard will be increasing from Colorado to South Dakota.

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THURSDAY: The surface low will track to western Iowa as the blizzard pounds the northern Plains. We will see a mix of sun and clouds as winds gust to 40-45 mph from the west and southwest behind the cold front. The day will start with temperatures in the 60s, falling to the 50s during the afternoon and then 40s after sunset. Thunderstorms will form near the Mississippi river during the afternoon.

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FRIDAY: The storm will be moving quickly towards the Great Lakes. We will see decreasing clouds and wind with increasing sunshine.  We do have a chance for a light freeze Friday, but clouds and wind will help to keep temperatures up. Also, our hard freeze threat is dropping for Saturday as the first storm is moving away quickly, taking the very cold air with it. Also, new clouds will be racing in Saturday as the second storm moves in to the Plains. Snowfall totals may be as high as 20″ to 30″ across South Dakota and northern Minnesota.

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SATURDAY: It will become mostly cloudy and this may prevent a freeze Saturday morning. There will be a large area of rain across the southern United States with snow in the Oklahoma and Texas panhandles. This storm will be lifting northeast Saturday night and Sunday. There are some models that bring a cold rain (some mixed snow) in to our region, while others keep it south. We will keep watching this one.

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Have a great rest of your week.

Jeff Penner

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