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Finally: A Big Warm Up

Good morning bloggers,

The first 100 days of 2018 featured two 70°+ days.  In Kansas City, there were 98 days below 70° which must be a record to start the year.  It was 71° on February 27th, and then 76° on March 15th. Those were the only two 70 degree days, until today, the 101st day of 2018. We are forecasting a high of 78° this afternoon, but it will come with a sacrifice. There will be a lot of wind.

Screen Shot 2018-04-11 at 7.37.37 AM

The models have varying solutions for what will happen Friday and over the weekend.  The GFS model, left, and the NAM model, right, as you can see above, has no convection near the front in eastern Kansas on the GFS, and heavy convection, thunderstorms, on the NAM as shown.  A developing blizzard is shown over the western and northern plains. This storm is then forecast to go through a transition and by Sunday, some of that cold air blasts south, and there is a decent chance Kansas City will have snow for the third straight Sunday.

Screen Shot 2018-04-11 at 7.39.53 AM

This map, above, shows the European Model solution valid at 7 AM Sunday.  This storm will be another interesting one to track. Let’s discuss much more in the comments section over on the Weather2020 blog.

Storm Prediction Center Severe Weather Outlook:

Here is the day 3 outlook for severe thunderstorms. This is a storm system that we have been targeting to produce severe weather risks for weeks now.  It is right on schedule. The risk near KC is still somewhat in question, but the risks southeast of our area are more significant and will shift east on Saturday and Sunday.

day3otlk_0730

Thank you for spending a few minutes reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Go over to the blog on Weather2020.com and join in the conversation as we share in this weather experience.  Have a great day.

Gary

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