Good Morning Bloggers!
Wind chills in the single digits made for a cold start this morning. Our actual air temperature of 18° wasn’t the coldest morning yet (we dipped into single digits the morning after Christmas), but it sure made it hard to get out the door. The cold air will be with us for a while…Happy New Year!
Overnight clouds actually kept the temperatures from dropping into the single digits early this morning. Manhattan and Emporia had cleared out before sunrise. As a result, they dipped to 7 and 9 degrees, respectively this morning. Here’s a cloudy look from this morning on the south side of the Metro.
Pic taken 8 a.m.
Our early morning clearing took about 2 hours…from 8 a.m. to 10 a.m. My what a difference 2 hours makes!
Pic taken 10 a.m.
Weather’s calm and cold as we wait for the next storm system. It’s an upper low shown below off the California Coast.
There’s actually a disturbance farther north, over the western coast of Canada. It will swing around the low and eject over KC Monday into Tuesday and likely bring snow. The problem is, some computer models indicate this disturbance will weaken before it hits KC and others track the disturbance over KC nice and strong.
This “weaker” forecast solution yeilds a snowfall of less than an inch for KC. The more aggressive computer models show this disturbance dropping over 5 inches of snow Monday afternoon and night. With this disagreement comes uncertainty.
The powercast below shows snowfall amounts ranging from less than an inch to over 4″ with Monday’s snow.
Even with the uncertainty, here’s what I want you to be prepared for in the event of accumulating snow in KC.
1. Snow may be able to start falling Monday before sunrise. Tricky temperatures may be slightly below or above freezing early in the day. Depending on the time it starts snowing, roads may become slick for the morning commutes.
2. Snow would be possible during the entire day. Hopefully, temperatures would warm above freezing midday, which would help melt anything on the roads.
3. Temperatures would drop off at the end of the day and through the evening. Winds would pick up and accumulating snow would be possible. New Year’s Eve drives around town may be slick and hazardous.
4. Snow forecast to end early Tuesday morning would leave behind a cold frozen mess to clean up New Year’s Day.
It’s still a couple days out, so we’ll fine tune this forecast as we know more. Regardless of what happens, be careful on the final night of 2012.