Dwindling Rain Chances

Good Sunday bloggers,

Once again we had a rain event last night where the main rain tracked well southwest of our area. Scattered showers and thunderstorms occurred across eastern Kansas and western Missouri. We have another chance of rain later tonight and Monday, but it is looking like another scattered event. After this chance, it is looking dry for several days.

Here is the radar from 4 AM Sunday. You can see the main rain falling across southwest and southern Kansas. Scattered downpours were occurring across eastern Kansas and northern Missouri.


Let’s go through the forecast the next few days and then we will take a look at what this means for the drought.

SUNDAY: The activity from this morning will be moving into southern Illinois and we will once again turn our attention to the west. New T-Storms are likely to form in western Nebraska and northwest Kansas, north of a warm front. These T-Storms will track southeast overnight.


SUNDAY NIGHT: The T-Storms by midnight will be located from around Salina to Wichita. Remember, they are tracking southeast, so we will likely be on the northeast extension of the main area.


MONDAY MORNING: We are in the scattered downpour area, much like Sunday morning as the main rain has tracked into Arkansas.


MONDAY AFTERNOON: It will be partly to mostly cloudy with more scattered showers and T-Storms possible.


TUESDAY: The best chance of scattered downpours will be shifting east as the system responsible for these rain chances moves away. The Missouri side will have a chance for a few, brief downpours. After Tuesday, the rain chances are near zero for around 5 days.


RAINFALL FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY: Here is the rainfall forecast for the last chances of rain for awhile. Our area will be in the none to 1″ category with a nice 1″-3″ event to the southwest where they saw nice rain today.


Based on what we are thinking for the forecast the next 6-10 days, it is likely we will see worsening drought conditions over most locations. There will be some improvement across southern Kansas as they will have had two nice rain events before this gets updated.


Hopefully your yard or farm will get a good drink of water by Tuesday.

Have a great week.

Jeff Penner

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