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Could We Dent the Drought?

Good Sunday bloggers,

We have talked about how the rain last week was nice, but the significant amounts were in relatively low coverage. So, there were a few localized areas that saw a drought reduction, but overall the drought remains steady. The only way to seriously dent the drought is to have widespread rain over 1″-2″. A pattern will set up at the end of next week into next weekend that will produce a zone of widespread 2″-5″ of rain. The big question…Where will the zone set up?

First, once again, here is the latest drought monitor. You can see the worst of the drought is located in northern Missouri, Johnson county, KS and in between Emporia and Wichita, KS.

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Here is the rainfall forecast for the next 7 days from the 6Z GFS. Remember, this rain does not really get going until Thursday-Friday. You can see a nice zone of rain from western to southeast Kansas into southern Missouri. The northern edge of the beneficial rain is around I-70. As is, this solution would help out much of the drought on the Kansas side. Northern Missouri would get mostly missed.

This solution is NOT set in stone and it is still 3-4 days away. It can shift 50-200 miles farther south or north. A northward shift is what is needed to knock the drought down a notch. We will follow this all week.

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The weather today-Wednesday will be very typical for the end of July in our area. It will be partly to mostly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 80s, little wind and little to no chance of rain.

Have a great week ahead.

Jeff Penner

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