Good morning bloggers,
A cold front is moving across the KC metro area between 7 and 9 AM. The wind is shifting to the northwest. Dewpoints are near 65° and there isn’t a low cloud near the front at the moment. Take a look at the 7 AM Surface map:
The chance of rain is obviously going to come after the front moves through. There is nothing on radar at all as I am writing this blog entry at 7:15 AM. As the front shifts south, the dew points will drop and even if rain showers form the potential for anything really significant is going down with every minute that goes by. The Drought In The Heartland has now reached day 79 with no end in sight. Today is just another way for us to miss a rain opportunity.
Some rain showers are now forming north and west of Kansas City behind the cold front. We will likely see clouds thicken up with some rain in a few hours.
Have a great Thursday morning. Thank you for stopping by and spending a few minutes reading the Action Weather blog.
Gary
So, you don’t believe the rain up in Nebraska will make it this far south? They seem to be growing in size and strength as they move SE.
David,
I think the rain will grow a bit more and move in from the northwest later this morning, but as I showed last night amounts will likely be in the trace to 0.20″ range. There is a huge cap above us right now that is going to break down soon, but the north winds are also brining in drier air at the same time.
Well, 0.20″ or less won’t make any difference. So the saga of Summer 2012 continues. Buddy, I feel a desperate need for the LLTI in a big way. Maybe you should take a look into that and starting us on a more active weather pattern what with the cycle change do in here in the next 7 weeks. But where to go? I would go someplace where its raining, raining and enjoy wet conditions and take a long nap.
I’d say an LLTI of about a month should do. The other three wouldn’t mind taking one for the team would they?
What does LLTI stand for?
Thanks,
MB
LLTI= Lezak Leaving Town Index… whenever Gary leaves town it seems we get wetter or more active weather… … Gary… can you PLEASE go on a vacation… do it for us please!!!!!
Well if that is what LLTI stands for…….. By all means Gary see ya in a month as i know you would do this for all of us.
Thanks,
MB
Latest Drought Monitor released this AM shows large increases in “exceptional” drought coverage in KS and MO. KS exceptional drought areal coverage rises from 38% to 63% and in MO it rises from 13% to 35%.
Forgot to add that all of metro KC is now in exceptional drought.
I’m pretty sure the next upgrade will be to “Dust Bowl” followed by a mass migration away from the Midwest.
Wow, check out that massive line of showers to our northwest. And by “massive line of showers” I really mean “thin line of sprinkles.”
The line is actually getting a bit thicker and more substantial…maybe someone will get a reasonable rain out of it.
Talk about migration…I’d love to get out of here, if I had the right situation. Weatherwise, this has been the most depressing summer I can remember.
Storms firing in south and east of the I-44 coridoor, as well as IL and IN which are again getting beneficial rain…I would think those states will be removed from the drought condition before to much longer.
Today’s weather is very depressing…from 50% chance of shower to ZERO. My goodness, Stop this!!!
Wow, you know you’re really in a drought when 41 radar shows Ray County covered with rain and yet there’s no rain here. I can smell it, but it must be invisible because it isn’t hitting the ground.
The next level of the drought monitor is TOAST.
Thunder and a few sprinkles in KC North. Maybe we’ll squeeze a few hundredths out of this?
Only a trace fell. Other meager lines to the NW probably die out before getting here.
Ahhh…invisible rain and amber waves of GRASS. Radar is just a hurtful thing and something that moves over the bubble we’re living under here. ….. upgrading to “dust bowl” and mass migration from the midwest – LLTI – funny.
Gary, this is going to go down as the worst LRC ever for weather enthusiasts. From no snow last winter to almost no severe weather locally this spring to the shriveling heat and drought of this summer, it’s been lousy. Not to mention the way this pattern has tricked the models and messed up your long range and shorter forecasts. Hoping for more predictable and fun weather with LRC 2012-13 starting in a month or two!
Dont worry folks, cold air will come early this year and the rains will return soon.
Gary, not sure if anyone has suggested this but I think you should have a “When will it rain one inch?” contest!
Not quite as exciting as the first inch of snow or the hottest day of the year contests, but for those of us suffering through this drought, experiencing a rare form of LORD… (Lack of Rain Disorder)… similar to SAD (Seasonal Affective Disorder), it just might be enough of a distraction to pull us out of the depression that has set in from not having any rain, or tomatoes, or grass to mow, etc., etc…
Just a thought?
PS… don’t anybody steal my new acronym… you heard it first from Suburban Sam!
most of Illinois got great rain today. that line that passed through here earlier looked to be a quarter inch but evaporated at my doorstep. Obviously, the local meteorologists have not had proper training and education on predicting rain in a drought pattern, just go back and look at the predictions for rain starting in April.
Some rain and thunder here in Drexel, but will be lucky to get much
Ready for the rain total…..drum roll………..0.05
Right on time. Exceptional drought. Shocker there. Been tellin’ ya’ll for months.
New to board.I was reading yesterday on accu-weather web site.They are predicting above normal temps and below average snowfall this winter for the mid-west.Bummer as I am a snow lover.Only good thing is their prediction for last winter ended up being just the opposite of what actually happened.Of course about everybody blew it last year.Let’s all hope this winter’s prediction is also totally wrong.We need moisture!Old Farmers Almanac is actually predicting a snowy winter.Will be anxious to see what Gary’s winter forecast will be once he issues it later in the fall.I know he always looks at what happens between Oct.1 -Nov. 15 to make his prediction on. Seems like ever since spring we are running a month ahead on everything.They say we are to be in the upper 40s tomorrow night way up here in the north land.
Ok Theo, Great Job!
What’s next? Dry/wet fall, early freeze/lots of cold and snow. I will assume you made a great guess at the drought unless you can predict the upcoming fall and winter.
BTW, you’re on record for predicting 5 more 100 degree days. That may be tough to do in NW flow. But, I’ve seen heat in Sept. before, so that predition is still in play.
Mike, I’ll go on record and say ZERO more 100 degree days. Also, I’ll say at least one inch of rain total will fall before Sept 1.
Both measurements at KCI.