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Blog Update On Friday Evening

Good evening bloggers,

I would like to begin by letting you know that I have been informed from our blog moderators that the blog has been cleaned up.  Please follow the rules of the blog and we will make this a much better place for us to share Kansas City’s weather.

Now, onto the weather trends in the models, and I will go over the details on 41 Action News beginning at 4:30 PM.  The computer models have been all over the place on next week’s evolving weather pattern. The European model went with a solution that the GFS model had earlier in the week showing a much slower and deeper system that could bring us a wet storm around mid to late next week. The GFS model, which had been doing this has been much more progressive. The NAM model just came out and agrees with the Canadian model with a wetter storm around Tuesday.  The morning model runs have various storm types and precipitation patterns for Tuesday, Wednesday, or Thursday.  So which will it be?

The latest GFS model is dropping/digging next weeks storm deep into Mexico. There will be a kicker eventually, but where would this kick out?  This GFS model run is VERY different than the NAM model that came out an hour earlier.  When you watch my forecasts tonight you will likely notice that I only have a 20% chance in there for one of those mid-week days. I am going to let this get a day closer before I try to commit to a possible solution.  We will get many more solutions between now and the end of the weekend, so check back in.

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the blog. And, our goal is to make this a great, fun, and exciting place to share Kansas City’s weather information.  Hopefully we can all learn something along the way.

Gary

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31 comments to Blog Update On Friday Evening

  • Kole Christian

    I was about right on this last event, still a little high, but I figured we would get more than a dusting. As to this next storm, I hope it gives us more of something to talk about. 4” would be nice but at this point it does not seem likely. It does look like we are entering a more active period however.

  • miller90

    That is great news Gary. This has always been a good weather blog. I can and have ignored the ‘children’ but cleaning up the blog will make it an even better place to share our passion for the weather.

  • Dobber

    Great news Gary!

  • sedsinkc

    We’ve heard about the blog being cleaned up before; but, like roaches after a bug bomb detonates, over time they creep back into your space. Unless this time you’ve hired a well-respected exterminator?
    About next week’s storm, whatever happens I assume it’s looking like it would not be a big storm for us regardless of the current model scenario?

  • Emaw

    Near average temps for the foreseeable future will definitely be welcome, let’s keep that arctic air in Canada where it belongs!

  • R-Dub

    I think I would lean towards the slower solutions…with no clear kicker for an upper level low, the more likely scenario is that it slows down and wobbles. I’d like to see it slow down, grab some gulf moisture and give us some rain.

    • R-Dub,

      I agree, that would be nice. The latest GFS had almost no impact from Saturday, and from Tuesday/Wednesday, but the more likely storm do in around a week from now. That storm, in the last cycle was a strong system, but it tracked to our north. Let’s see what that late week storm does, and hopefully the lead storm has some impact too? The latest GFS brought us nothing from #1 (tomorrow), nothing from #2, and not much from #3 as it tracks too far north. Well, let’s see what it looks like tomorrow.

      Have a great weekend.

  • Gary, The NAM has been out to lunch for the last few months…Do you put much stock in any of its solutions,beyond 24hrs. out

  • MidwestSteve

    Glad to hear the blog has been cleaned up. You guys do a great job explaining your forecasts, and improved comments will make the entire discussion much more pleasant. Thanks for taking action.

  • McCabe58

    Curious as to what “the blog has been cleaned up” means, but hopefully it’s the truth! So for us to get a storm next week we’ll need the storm to be slower and dig deeper, but not all the way in Mexico right? Were exactly do we need it to track to get a decent storm next week? Somewhere in Texas or Oklahoma? And I noticed you said the models are all over the place showing various storm types and precipitation patterns.. Do you have any idea at what the precip type it will be? Alot of the bloggers seem to think its going to be a mostly rain scenario from reading the blog the past day or so

  • Freeze Miser

    The NAM being different than the GFS is not surprising. I am always one to root for the snow but I’m holding off even an optimistic guess until Sunday.

    Thanks, Gary, for making the blog a better place.

    Freeze

  • Kcchamps

    glad the blog has finally been cleaned up, now maybe we can all talk about weather :)

  • rred95

    nothing from storm #1 , #2 , and now #3….. didnt even know about #3, o well maybe it will change back to something more exciting, but am prepared for more let downs is life with kc weather.

  • ChiefsFan

    Gary so does it look like tommorrow will be no accumulation, just few flurries or drizzle?

    • Theo

      How many times does it need to be repeated??? 4 weathercasts, 3 blog entries, countless updates? NO STORM TOMORROW!!!!!!

      Why do you think people get cranky on here? Good God!

  • Theo

    Beg for snow.
    Beg for winning NFL team.
    Beg for cleaned up blog.

    Cry when you get none.

    Hope you all love what you get!

  • ChiefsFan

    Just curious Theo, the weather changes by every model run, so just wondering

  • Emaw

    Yeah, we need a rain storm! Theo , how do you do it , so positive and upbeat all of the time!

  • McCabe58

    Dusting tomorrow maybe an inch south of cass county

  • Dobber

    Muku are you still alive? Hope it snows a ton next week!

  • HeatMiser

    Jack Harry said Chiefs and Royals will be “competitive” next year. LOL!!!! The man lives in his own pretend world made of fairy dust and unicorns.

    Jack, catch up. The Chefs and the Royals haven’t been competitive in any real sense for many many many many many many years.

    • Kcchamps

      but this year the Royals actually have a legitimate starting pitching rotation, add that to a good offense and you have a competitive team :)

  • Emaw

    Yep, things are changing baby!

  • Kole Christian

    People thought the Rays would never get good…