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Here We Go Again, One Last Time

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Good morning bloggers,

While the east coast has yet another major rain event, after a lot of snow events this past winter, Kansas City is likely again in the “wrong spot” for the end of the week wet system. Just yesterday I argued that it would bring us some badly needed rain, since it has been dry . . . → Read More: Here We Go Again, One Last Time

A Tropical System In The Pacific To Monitor

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Good morning bloggers,

The National Hurricane Center has placed a 70% chance of tropical storm development near Baja California in the next five days.  This is a system that we will be paying close attention to as well, as the pattern becomes favorable for bringing moisture from this systems and spreading it our way this weekend.  The . . . → Read More: A Tropical System In The Pacific To Monitor

Hurricane Florence Makes Landfall

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Good morning bloggers,

At 7 AM eastern time it appears that we have had the outer edge of the hurricane make landfall.  This is a minimal CAT 1 hurricane and it will weaken as it moves inland away from its energy source over the warm Atlantic waters.  Speaking of water, this is one of the biggest threats . . . → Read More: Hurricane Florence Makes Landfall

Where Will Powerful Hurricane Florence Track?

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Good morning bloggers,

Hurricane Florence is still a CAT 4 hurricane this morning.  It will be moving over very warm waters and as it approaches the coast on Thursday afternoon/Thursday night it may slow down a bit. The steering currents weaken considerably by Thursday. The momentum of the west-norwest movement will likely still take this system and . . . → Read More: Where Will Powerful Hurricane Florence Track?

Hurricane Season Is On Steroids Right Now

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Good afternoon bloggers,

Hurricane Season is getting wild and a bit out of control right now. Forecasting Hurricane Florence will likely drive many forecasters a bit crazy in the next few days.  Take a look at this:

Farther west there is a fifth system potentially developing:

I said fifth system because we must not forget the fourth one, near . . . → Read More: Hurricane Season Is On Steroids Right Now

The Carolina’s Must Prepare For A Major Hurricane

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Good morning bloggers,

How do the 40s sound?  Temperatures will be dropping into the 40s in many locations by Monday morning. Today looks like a great day and it is too bad the Chiefs are not in KC. They play in Los Angeles today, where the weather is quite often like our weather will be today.  It . . . → Read More: The Carolina’s Must Prepare For A Major Hurricane

The Same Pattern Has Four Weeks Left

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Good morning bloggers,

A steadily growing area of rain is drifting northeast across Kansas.  It will be a wet and rainy day in KC with a few spots receiving 1 to 2 inches of rain.  The heaviest rain early this morning was located over southern Kansas with a disturbance spinning around.  The same pattern continues to cycle, . . . → Read More: The Same Pattern Has Four Weeks Left

Very Active Hurricane Season: Weather Models Threatening The East Coast & KC’s Chance Of Rain

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Good morning bloggers,

Hurricane season is now in hyperdrive as we look at the bigger picture. We have Hurricanes Norman, Olivia, Florence, and more development.   And, here we go again with the models.  If you remember, the National Hurricane Center had a 0% chance of development for Tropical Storm Gordon, while our prediction was at 84% . . . → Read More: Very Active Hurricane Season: Weather Models Threatening The East Coast & KC’s Chance Of Rain

100% Chance Of Rain

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Good morning bloggers,

Tropical Storm Gordon will weaken to a depression today, and then go through a rather interesting transition by Saturday as the overall LRC flow (500 mb wave train aloft that is cycling according to the LRC) picks up the storm and combines with an upper level trough to create a new surface low by . . . → Read More: 100% Chance Of Rain

Developing Hurricane Gordon Predicted 8-months Ago

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Good morning bloggers,

This may be argued to be the best weather prediction ever made, certainly the best long range weather prediction ever made.  Take a look at this comparison of developing Hurricane Gordon and the prediction made eight months ago in front of my peers at the big AMS conference in Austin last January:

I shared this . . . → Read More: Developing Hurricane Gordon Predicted 8-months Ago