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Alberto Will Make Landfall Today

Good morning bloggers,

Subtropical Storm Alberto is likely just now becoming a more true tropical storm this morning. Thunderstorms are wrapping around the center of this system, which is about to make landfall on the Florida Panhandle coast.  This is a storm that was predicted to be a potential early season storm months ago by Weather2020, LLC.  Weather2020 predicted Hurricane Harvey last year 60 days before it developed, and now Weather2020 follows up with another incredible forecast. Take a look at this map that was presented in at the AMS Conference in Austin Texas on January 9th, 137 days before now:

Screen Shot 2018-05-27 at 9.49.18 AM

This early tropical system is a strong indicator of what will be happening in future cycles of this years LRC.  This will be a very active season, and this storm is in the forecast hot spot for the season.  Why has it been called a “Subtropical Storm” instead of a “Tropical Storm”? When the thunderstorms, the main convection develops over 100 miles away from the center of the storm, then it will more likely be called subtropical, especially early or very late in the season.  Once more organized thunderstorm activity, convection, forms closer to the center, then the National Hurricane Center will change the classification to “tropical”. This may happen just as it moves onshore, as thunderstorms are forming near the center this morning.

Screen Shot 2018-05-28 at 8.35.18 AM

The system, as of 8:30 AM, was finally beginning to look more like a Tropical Storm as convection was wrapping around the center of the storm. It was almost due south of Panama City, Florida.  Just over a month ago I was talking to Jeff Penner about where systems will most likely make landfall this season, and near Fort Walton Beach is one of our targets. This will likely come inland a bit west of our target location this time.

The Weather Pattern:

From the site, Tropical Tidbits, you can see the forecast depiction of Alberto coming inland.  Also, notice the little green specs near KC. Those are small little convective thunderstorm cells, perhaps.  It is going to be another hot one. And, we need more rain than we have been getting, even though KCI Airport will come in close to average;  KCI Airport…..5.07″ in May, St. Joseph, MO……1.69″ in May.   We will have more on these developments later this week.

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We hope you remember all of the fallen soldiers and those who have sacrificed in the pursuit of our freedom here in the United States.  It is a holiday to remember, thus the name Memorial Day. I hope everyone has a great day, and thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Go over to the Weather2020 blog to join in the conversation.

Gary

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