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A Weekend Storm System

Good morning bloggers,

A weak cold front is moving through today and it will be followed up by a much strong cold front on Sunday.  There are still a lot of questions to answer for Sunday’s storm system and we will go over a few of them here, and then we will have your most accurate forecast on 41 Action News today and tonight.

Here is one of many possible surface solutions valid Sunday morning:

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The models are having a hard time in the evolution of this weekend storm system, but every model has a pretty good amount of rain being modeled for our area as you can see below on this rainfall forecast.

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The new data was not as bullish on rainfall totals, so here we go again bloggers! We will get more specific on 41 Action News and tomorrow in the blog.

JD Rudd is filling in for Kalee Dionne this morning. Kalee went to New York City and met up with Al Roker yesterday and the Today Show crew. She will catch us up on her trip next week.  And, our news team took some pictures yesterday.  Here is one fun shot of Jadianne Thompson, Jack Harry, and myself.

Gary Jadi Jack

 

Have a great day and thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog.

Gary

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43 comments to A Weekend Storm System

  • AW

    NWS has Leavenworth and KCI for between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of rain. So, by the way this system is evolving, instead of individual cells, if should be just widespread heavy rain for Saturday night through Sunday afternoon, the bulk being, Saturday night.

    This is from NWS (National Weather Service)

    Fire danger will be high this afternoon, mainly across far NW Missouri as RH values drop to 25%, with N winds around 10 to 20 mph
    Thunderstorms, with widespread heavy rain are likely Saturday night through Sunday, before departing the area Sunday night. Widespread severe weather is not anticipated at this time, however a few storms, especially Saturday evening and Sunday evening could be strong.

    Look at this map: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/Image/fxc/eax/em1/EAX-EMBriefing1.pdf

    IT’S INSAINE!

  • Hume-Dude

    I like the trend. We could really use a widespread plume of rain/thunderstorms. You hit the nail on the head A-DUB , we don’t need a cellular set up with little pockets of storms. If we can get 1.5-3″ out of this we will be well on our way to a lush green spring. One thing I noticed on the posted maps is the models are trending the heaviest precip. east of us yet again. Lets hope our friends in the western viewing area don’t get missed again.

  • Craig

    I like where ole Jack has his right hand in the picture…pulling Jadiann close! Can you blame him?!?

  • batman

    Gary please tell us who the american scientist are that you referenced in your LRC press release.

    • Hockeynut69

      Batman has once again been foiled by The Riddler(Gary. He is never going to answer you and just keep you asking the riddles. Time to move on. BTW-How is Robin doing these days?

  • Hume-Dude

    Batman is serious about extracting this information! Gary – tell Batman who you are working for! Who sent you?! Tell me where the scientist is!?! Who has the microfilm?!?

    • chris

      Yeah he seriously needs to get a life..his posts get old quick when he gets stuck on a topic lol..otherwise he is ok

  • AW

    Weather Channel says Rain/Thunder, which is usually associated with long, heavy rain. I don’t want to toot my horn, but BEEP BEEP BEEEP! I CALLED IT!

  • Hume-Dude

    Go ahead and toot it…AFTER we get the massive widespread heavy rainfall that has avoided us for many months….we can afford to jinx it now! For whatever reason, possibly because I’ve seen it 100 times , these sure things somehow don’t pan up. I seem to remember hearing ” we were in the wrong spot” all to many times….

  • AW

    From Weather Underground: Saturday Night: Isolated T-storm in the evening, then mainly cloudy overnight with T-storm likely. 30% Chance.

    Sunday: T-storms in the morning, overcast in the afternoon with occasional rain. 100% chance. Rainfall near an inch.

    Sunday Night: Periods of rain. 90% chance. Rainfall near a half inch.

    After this we could see ANOTHER system set up Friday and Saturday next week. Drought is almost over.

  • AW

    Periods of Drought in KC from Drought Monitor: Jan 18- Feb 29 2000; May 23- Jun 27 2000; Sep 5- Oct 3 2000; Aug 6- Aug 27 2002; Sep 3 2002- Jun 10 2003; July 22 2003- May 4 2004; June 13- Aug 29 2006; Nov 1- Dec 6 2011; June 19 2012- May 28 2013; July 23- Aug 6 2013; So, technically, we’ve been out of drought since Aug 6, 2013.

    • Pete Capone

      As said by our illustrious government agency. Certainly they are to be trusted as being correct! Adrian Adonis agrees! Drought’s OVER!!!

  • Hume-Dude

    Gary indicated latest data was not supporting big precip. event here. How could I have possibly known that? Oh yea, because every storm fails to produce significant moisture here. Tomorrow will probably trend in the same direction. This “next” system the following week, why would it behave any differently? The LRC pattern this year is clearly not a beneficial one for us receiving rain, OBVIOUS at this point m, I think everyone even MOWERMIKE will agree on that? The difference is M.M. thinks this will change, why? The pattern has revealed itself at this point , I am forecasting serious drought conditions to develop this summer. This spring will look really wet compared to this summer, I can already see that big dome of HIGH pressure setting up here in June. I am starting to feel like my Grandpa…he was true drought miser!

  • Pete Capone

    Even after our “Drought Buster” that Adrian said settles it.

    “http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?MO”

    “http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?KS”

    Keep lookin’ in the mirror Adrian.

  • Drought Miser

    Finally a Drought buster on the way in… gosh we need it bad huge cracks around the basement and sub floors this weekend sho help out a bunch

  • f00dl3

    Not sure if it’s a drought buster. Drought will probably continue unless we get more than an inch of rain. Already having to roll the soaker hoses out to the foundation and it’s not even May yet!

    NAM – which has been consistent this last winter – shows us with light sprinkles during the day Sunday and a thin band of thunderstorms Monday morning.

    GFS shows a weakening area of rain moving through early Sunday, then light drizzle, and a thin band of thunderstorms Sunday night/Monday morning.

    Both models look about identical at this point.

    • Drought Miser

      Yes i can’t believe it’s only April and we are talking about watering foundation’s !!!

      Gary ,
      Is there any chance of that southern bullseye moving closer to us???…is today’s data encouraging or just another southern I-44 corridor slammer??

  • batman

    If Gary said teh sky is green I guess hockeynut would just take it as gospel. I find it a bit disturbing that a head of a company would put out a press release with incorrect informtion. gary is the CEO of weather2020 and I think he should be head accountable for what he claims. You followers justr nod your head and agree with what he says with out question.

    If Ford put out a press release saying they had a car that would get 60 mpg because american scientist figured out a way to increase gas mileage the press would be all over it.

    It’s a very easy question to answer and the silence tells the story. He out right lied in the press release.

    • chris

      Give it up man..if you don’t like it quit participating in the blog. Go bug someone else. Did you not get enough attention as a child?

    • luvsno

      If it walks like a duck and talks like a duck, it is a duck.
      batman talks exactly like muku….he is muku.
      batman why do keep on harping…Gary owes you nothing, nada, zilch.
      Perhaps if you put the question in a non-accusatory form then he would answer.
      But, again, he owes none of us anything. This blog is here for us, as a means to get the weather forecast and to have/see great discussions.
      Your incessant questioning of who the scientists are is getting very old.
      If you are not muku, then quit acting like him.

      Let’s hope we get this rain ! Huge cracks around foundation here in Jo. Co. KS

      • chris

        My thoughts exactly..couldn’t have said it better myself. He is like the little kid that doesn’t get attention so he has to act out and constantly nag. We should start calling him batboy instead of batman lol.

        • batman

          As usual you can’t answer the question at hand so you attack. I didn’t write the press release and put it in the blog Gary did and he has misleading information at best. Just answe the question at hand, do you think it’s ok for a CEO to mislead the public? Facts suck don’t they.

          Better get this rain this weekend or the drought will strengthen and grip everyone even mowermike will have to admit there is a drought

          • chris

            Um..most of the comments you make on here are attacking gary or other bloggers who don’t seem to crave attention that u crave. So like i said before, if you don’t like it leave. It is that simple..there is the door..don’t let it hit you where the good lord split you

          • Dobber

            I enjoy bruce……I always have.

  • Hume-Dude

    I’m about ready to throw in the towel on this growing season. I haven’t had a bumper crop in 5 years (2009), so why would I this year? I have advice for those with farms and agricultural ties, DIG MORE PONDS! Build them 2X bigger and deeper than you are used to (1 acre minimum and 15′ depth) , clean out your dried up ponds and make use of this low water time and prepare for when the rains return!

  • Dobber

    Please shut off the fountains at the K, it is such a waste of water we need to conserve water badly. How are we going to be able to flush our toliets.

    • Drought Miser

      Well luckily for us mid westerners the Missouri River water shed is vast and encompassing almost 2/3rd of the Conus so no worries on running low on water like our friends out in So Cal may do this Summer !!!!

  • AW

    I know everyone is saying, “Oh, it’s going to do what it usually does and redevelop in Missouri, but Weather Underground has been calling this for quite awhile, and Weather Underground is way more accurate than the Weather Channel. In fact, here’s an update:

    Showers and thunderstorms likely. High 63F. Winds ENE at 15 to 25 mph. 1 to 2 inches of rain expected.

    Sunday Night

    Cloudy with rain, occasionally heavy in the evening. Remaining cloudy late. Low 38F. Winds N at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 90%. Rainfall near a half an inch.

    People don’t just say, “1-2 inches of rain” without checking their data. And you can’t base a storm off of what a different storm did in the past.

    • Hume-Dude

      AW -I like where your head is at! But according to the LRC you can base a storm off what they did in the past. Also, weather underground is no more accurate than anybody out there, they all use the exact same models ( NAM, RAP , GFS ). I get it, we all have our favorite’s!

      • AW

        Weather Underground uses the most accurate model, the European, for the record. And, also, unlike NWS and the Weather Channel, it’s not quick to go from 1-2 inches of rain to .02 inches. But, I guess your right. What I’m trying to say is, it’s the most trustworthy nationwide weather site. In my opinion.

  • Hume-Dude

    Say what you like Dobber…but our Classic setups that used to bring wet springs have all but vanished. I have heard before that droughts go in 5-10 year cycles, so we are either on the verge of breaking out of this one or we are still entrenched for another couple years. I am now convinced this year’s LRC will do us no good to break out of the cycle, and what a tough cycle to break! No, we don’t need to conserve water just yet. Any comments that actually contribute to a discussion?

    • Drought Miser

      Well Gary did mention in the Spring Forecast that we may have a couple of weeks in May that have heavy spouts of weather possible Severe so who knows we could finally break the cycle

    • Dobber

      No offense dude….. You have no idea if it is a 5 or 10 year “cycle”. No one does….period. It is interesting to me that so many people on here are so worried about a “drought”. Like we have control over it one way or another……mindless BS. I still say shut the fountains down now! We are in a drought! No watering the grass at the K either.

  • Drought Miser

    Ruh row Gary just turned on the Yellow light for Sunday, I’m thinking for flooding concerns he didn’t mention why but it’s on now…. this time of year in KC i like all green lights April can be such a fickle month!!!

  • batman

    OMG not the yellow light! I better prepare for the worst I only have 15 minutes to act!

    • Dobber

      Duck, duck, goose! Take cover right away!

    • mgsports

      Right know Western and central South MO on Sunday has 30% chance of a seeing a Tornado. KS side of KC area chances of any bad Weather comes both days.

  • Emaw

    I recall that weather underground/euro was calling for chances of snow/wintry mix for Monday, what happened to that?

  • Joe

    Ed, have you checked the updated drought monitor? After this weekend, it could continue to trend to normal…I seriously do not understand this drought obsession. Missouri is dry, not in a drought. Even Kansas made significant improvements this past week albeit, small. I still do not like the way they record moisture as it is general in nature and not area specific.