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A Tropical Storm Is Forming & It May Send Moisture To KC

Good morning bloggers,

Happy Labor Day!  I will be working at KSHB-TV this evening and we will be tracking a developing tropical storm.  The national radar shows the developing tropical system just southeast of Miami, Fl. Also quite noticeable is a band of rain and thunderstorms extending across Kansas and Iowa and then east to near Chicago, IL.  This band of rain has been in a zone that has barely moved, and as a result a few spots have now received over 4″ of rain with another 4 to 8 inches of rain likely, which will lead to localized flooding. While all of this is going on, Kansas City continues to be in the shadow of the rain. This will be good news for Labor Day activities as the chance of rain will remain low today.

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Tracking The Developing Tropical Storm:

  • A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for the Mississippi/Alabama border west to New Orleans
  • A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the Mississippi/Alabama border west to Morgan City, LA

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Tropical Storm Gordon will be named within the next 24 hours or so.  Thunderstorms, convection, have developed over and near the center of this system. When thunderstorms form near the center, there is tremendous latent heat released and this heat is what will now begin to organize and spin up this system.  South Florida is the first target as you see above with the large area of rain, torrential rainfall in the brighter orange colors.  This system will move out over the Gulf of Mexico where the water is warmer than average.  The conditions will become favorable for strengthening in the next 24 to 36 hours, so just as it approaches the coast it may form into a hurricane.

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Later this week, the remnants of Gordon will approach KC from the southeast. Where will it track exactly? This developing track will have an influence on our weather farther north. It may end up west of the predicted track, so let’s monitor this closely, yet this European Model shows an increase in rainfall over eastern Kansas and western Missouri. There are a few spots left that are still in drought conditions and this may be the week the finally wipes the drought out?

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For those of you paying close attention to our weather predictions, you will know this storm was predicted in January to develop now.  The LRC is applied (the peer reviewed technology proprietary to Weather2020), and this allows us to make these predictions, and also to “know” and predict the most likely path of these systems, winter storms, severe weather outbreaks, Arctic outbreaks, etc.  The National Hurricane Center is adjusting the path a bit east of yesterdays outlook and this is a more likely scenario as this will threaten the northern Gulf Coast states from new Orleans to Pensacola, FL.

Kansas City Weather Time-Line:

  • Today:  A few morning clouds and staying dry in most areas.  High:  86°.  There is a 20% chance of an isolated thunderstorm with southeast to south winds 5-15 mph.
  • Tonight: Partly cloudy with a slight, 20% chance, of a thunderstorm.  Low:  71°
  • Tuesday:  Periods of clouds with a few showers and thunderstorms possible. The chance of rain is 30%.  High:  84°
  • Wednesday:  Thunderstorms likely with heavy rain.  A few spots may get 1 to 2 inches of rain.  High:  81°
  • Thursday:  Cloudy with rain and a few thunderstorms likely.  High:  74°

Have a great Labor Day, and thank you for reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  Click here and join in the conversation:  Weather2020 Blog

Gary

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