A Tough Forecast For Oklahoma

Good evening bloggers,

It snowed again in Kansas City today.  0.2″ accumulated at KCI Airport with our official total today.  This puts KC up to 8.3″ for the season. Today was Kansas City’s seventh accumulation of the season so far, which included the earliest recorded accumulation in KC history on October 14th when 0.2″ also fell at the airport.  We will not get a little break, a big warm up next week ahead of a storm system, and the next possible storm around mid to late next week.

Oklahoma has a very difficult forecast.  A wet storm is developing, and look where the surface low is located:


The main low is predicted to be deep in Mexico on Friday afternoon.  The farther south position has now created less cold air for this system to work with, and the northern edge of the precipitation shield is still predicted to be in the form of rain. As the main storm approaches, the northern edge will likely include more wintry types of precipitation, and this is where the biggest challenge has been placed on the meteorologists and weather forecasters across the Sooner state, and also adjacent regions.  This next map shows the GFS model prediction valid Friday Night In The Big Town:


Eventually, that northern edge will likely begin producing some heavy snow and sleet:


So, imagine you are a weather forecaster for Oklahoma City.  The challenge is rather high, and we will look into this in tomorrows blog.

For KC, we get a few days break. Our next storm is due in around Wednesday and Thursday of next week. We will begin this discussion in the comments section on Weather2020.com as we share in this weather experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  Have a great Thursday night!


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