Quantcast

A storm tonight & a look ahead!

Good morning bloggers,

A storm is approaching the area with rain likely tonight. There may even be a thunderstorm.  I have some concern that the bands of rain will not be very organized until just as they are approaching or passing Kansas City tonight. It will rain, but the amounts could be as low as around 0.10″, but I do have some hope for more organization as it approaches which would put the total closer to 0.50″.   This first map shows the RUC model forecast for precipitation amounts between 7 and 10 PM tonight:

The center of the storm system is over Arizona this morning.  Moisture from the Pacific Ocean is moving northeast and Gulf of Mexico air is being drawn northward as well. This wlll be the fuel for this storm system.   Here is the watervapor satellite picture showing the copious amounts of moisture surging our way:

The energy that will be coming into the pattern later this weekend into next week will begin carving out a trough and storm system east of Kansas City.  There has been a trend on the models to have this energy dig harder over  us Sunday night into Monday morning, but not this morning’s NAM model. So, we just have to try to enjoy this rain storm tonight and we will look ahead in the coming days to hopefully something even more exciting.

Please follow the rules of the blog as we will be monitoring it closely. We would like this to be a fun and exciting place to share the Kansas City weather experience. Thank you for spending a few minutes reading the blog today and we will go over the details of this approaching storm system at 4:30, 5, 6, and 10 PM tonight. I am on my way to Smithville soon to talk with 3rd through 5th graders!  It’s FRIDAY!

Gary

Share and Enjoy:
  • Print
  • Digg
  • StumbleUpon
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Yahoo! Buzz
  • Twitter
  • Google Bookmarks

42 comments to A storm tonight & a look ahead!

  • It’s got to change. The law of probabilities would dictate that. I wonder, if in the high drought years of past, if the rest of the nation was getting all the precip, like what has been happening of late? Seems like there is a dome over the midwest!

    • I agree Scott. The last time I ever experienced anything like this was in Southern California when I was around 12 years old. We had two years with only around 4 to 5 inches of rain and long 250 day stretches of nothing. This has to end sometime soon, but this weather pattern may be a tough one to break.

  • Looks like there’s some activity trying to line up for just after Christmas, and the end of the year. But I sure won’t hold my breath! lol

  • sedsinkc

    Re tonight’s rain, Doris Day singing “Que sera sera” comes to mind. For youngsters thinking, “Who is Doris Day?”, never mind. With this drought I’ve become conditioned to expect little precip every time there’s a chance. But it is mid-month, and mid-month is when we’ve gotten our biggest monthly precip events in the last two months.

    Changing the subject, I spent 2 hours last night skygazing amidst the light pollution of Kansas City and saw 49 Geminid meteors, 5 of which were as bright or brighter than Jupiter.

    • Weatherfreak01

      I too was outside last night to watch the meteor shower. Like Gary said, it was clear. I was out around 11 p.m. I saw more shooting stars in the short time I was outside (about 45 minutes) than I did with the last “large” meteor shower when we were outside for a couple of hours. I could feel humidity in the air last night. I prob. would have stayed out longer but the breeze/wind was good at wisking away any heat I had going being bundled up.

  • DougHeadyImpersonator1

    Well it looks like we are finally going to get something and I wont have to water my new grass that I planted last fall. A little bit of moisture goes a long ways in winter, especially since it is cold and there is not as much evaporation. Gary, How many entries are left in the snowflake contest? I am trying to calculate my realistic odds of winning the diamonds? lol. My guess is the 23rd and its looking dimmer and dimmer that we will get snow on the 23rd. I drove to the outskirts of KC and watched the meteor shower, it was pretty good. I’d say I saw 2-3 per minute, it was a pretty good show, ya some of them were really bright and long sedsinkc.

    • There are a lot of entries left, including many in March this year. If it doesn’t snow an inch before March it isn’t going to happen with this pattern.

  • ChiefsFan

    Gary, do you see any chance of snow Sunday night?

  • f00dl3

    So, to all those who believe global warming is not man made, how do you feel about the leaked IPCC report? “http://gu.com/p/3cgdv/tf”

    • sedsinkc

      They’ll say what they always say: The report is liberal propaganda put out by Al Gore and the United Nations in order to take away American sovereignty, or the deniers will say they have their own data that shows the Earth stopped warming 15 or 20 years ago, and is about to enter a cooling phase. That’s fine, in 2 or 3 years atmospheric CO2 will cross the 400 ppm level, which is 120 ppm, or 42%, higher than the pre-Industrial Revolution level of 280 ppm, and soon we will all fry together. The deniers say CO2 levels in the air are so low that a “few ppm” increase makes no difference, but without any CO2 in the atmosphere the Earth would be frozen solid.

    • sedsinkc

      One of KC’s TV mets is a climate change denier and has gone on record repeatedly about this.

  • Emaw

    So when are we all going to fry?

    • sedsinkc

      Your grandchildren and great grandchildren won’t like the world they have to live in unless we as a species wise up. Air pollution is not the only way humankind is fouling this planet. I doubt I live long enough to see the slow-mo catastrophe unfolding now reach its climax.

  • Emaw

    The one with common sense?

  • Emaw

    Do you really think we have that much influence on the forces of nature? I understand we can do a better job as caretakers, but in the grand scheme of things we are a mere pimple on the a$$ of this planet. And one other thing, I’m sure the other Meteorologist you speak of is very well educated, just because you disagree with him does not make him uneducated, conversely it makes you look a little misinformed.

    • sedsinkc

      Go read his bio and you’ll see how “well educated” he is. That’s all I’m saying. And no, humanity is not a pimple. More like an abscess that continues to get worse. Emaw, if you’d like to discuss climate change in person with me I’ll be at the bar at Chili’s in Liberty tonight starting around 5:30. I’ll be wearing a Texas A&M cap, as I am meeting a K-State supporter there tonight to give him grief about Manziel winning the Heisman and Klein not winning it. Gig ‘em!

    • sedsinkc

      I could give you grief about Klein also while you’re there, kind of a twofer. ;)

    • Well said Emaw. “http://www.forbes.com/2009/12/03/climate-science-gore-intelligent-technology-sutton.html” “http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=1&sqi=2&ved=0CDQQFjAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fburtrutan.com%2Fburtrutan%2Fdownloads%2FEngrCritiqueCAGW-v4o3.pdf&ei=0X3LUPPMFcvwqQG2q4F4&usg=AFQjCNGwWPFxWk-zB1q5HM6htunUyI5e3Q&sig2=qDWjFcV60bTSoVdbzJ5yGw&bvm=bv.1355325884,d.b2U”

      • sedsinkc

        A businessman (not a climate scientist) and an engineer (not a climate scientist) critiquing climatology data concerning climate change that at least 95% of actual climate scientists agree is happening. Oh, but the explanation for that is that these scientists are endangering their grant funding if they don’t tow the line. Sounds so similar in a general sense to the huge campaign of disinformation the tobacco industry funded from the 1950’s until the early 1990’s about smoking and health. And of course the businessman in his Forbes article makes the obligatory slams on Al Gore and the United Nations. So predictable.

      • sedsinkc

        I also found the Rutan (aerospace engineer) slide presentation slick but sorely lacking in citations for his many graphs. Did he just whip those things up out of thin air to support his hypothesis? What are the sources for those data he purports support his anti-climate change views? Also, I’m 100% certain his presentation has not been peer reviewed and supported by the vast majority of climatologists.

    • Jim

      “Give me a place to stand and with a lever I will move the whole world.” – Archimedes

      There are currently approximately 7,058,593,562 human beings on the Earth. Many of them have the tools to make major changes to the environment. CO2 added to the atmosphere is approximately 6 billion metric tons, forests are razed, structures to decrease the planet’s albedo and we add other greenhouse gases like methane. Whenever I see someone saying that we are too small to have an impact I am reminded that mercury in food is considered dangerous at a level of 1 part per million, or 0.0001%. Small changes can be bad.

  • Emaw

    As much as I would enjoy a debate on climate change and football over some cold ones I must decline your invitation, besides Liberty is half way to Iowa from Olathe!

  • McCabe58

    Gary, if you are seriously monitoring this blog more then add a BLOCK feature. I bet your blog would become great again if you just took this simple step.

  • sedsinkc

    You first.

  • sedsinkc

    Why are you changing the subject? This is a weather blog. Discussion of mass murdering lunatics and their rampages have no place here.

  • Emaw

    Why use God’s name in vain?

  • Emaw

    Radar echos are looking pretty puny to the southwest, I was hoping we could squeeze .25-.50 out of this but it doesn’t look good.

  • McGabby58 has a lot of issues…All he does is complain…I reading a lot of anger on his part…This is the first time BS Scott has tried to make any sense,without blowing up…There are a few bloggers who need an adjustment(mental health wise)…These bloggers need to take a chill-pill,or what other means,to cool out…Have a good 1. :)

  • Emaw

    Billy Joe down on the farm just told me “if we don’t get some moisture out of this one I’m gonna be able to put my whole fist in that crack I got down here” then before he hung up he said “let ‘er eat!” Billy Joe’s always had a way with words.

  • Theo

    Between the global warming BS on the blog and the winter whiners begging for snow, all the fun bloggers are gone.

    Get your head out of your politics. As far as snow, this just in:
    WE’RE IN A DROUGHT AND KC IS NOT A SNOW MECCA ANYWAY!

  • Jim

    Climate is related to, but not equal to the weather. Questions of climate are about science. Policy concerning it is politics and economics. It is a viable question that needs more research to ask if we are in for more extreme weather events as climate changes. So long as a discussion that brings it up stays civil it is hardly capable of ruining a weather blog.

    • Jim, I,m glad you mentioned methane in your earlier post…What I,ve read/heard is the thawing of the tundra…I,ve not read any mention,yet,on the subject…I,m not as knowledgeable as some of the others on Global Warming…I wish someone could explain more on its effects,to our planet…Are there monitors that we can down load??? Any recent reports??? etc.,,,, signed Kevin

      • davidmcg

        The tundra melted and receeded in the 50’s. I saw a report a couple of weeks ago, a maritime report, a US nuclear sub was at the north pole and there was not any ice within 2 miles of the north pole. A year later, the same observation was made. At the same time, climatology reports indicated that the tundra was melting and receeding along with glaciers. Also happened in the 1930’s and at the turn of the centruy.

  • McCabe58

    Hey Kevin what’s your last name? You on Facebook tough guy?

  • davidmcg

    So here we sit at 8:PM high and dry still. Only wet places are SW of Emporia and the Salina area. Still early, but not looking good for the Topeka/KC/St Joe areas. For those that missed the meteor shower last night for one reason or another, you missed a great show. One of the best I have saw in a few years. We were luckier than most, living out here in the rural area all we had to do is turn our lights off and sit by the window and stay warm.

  • McCabe58

    Mikey? No, I’ve been on this blog for 3 years now. Muku are you Kevin? You guys seem to post VERY similar posts. You are both (most of the time) trolls who just come to stir the pot and have ruined this blog for over a year now. You’ve driven away some of the good bloggers who actually added something to this blog. All you two or one do is attack people and for some reason Gary refuses to do anything. Just stop with the childish crap please. There really is no need for it. Grow up already