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A Series Of Storm Systems

Good morning!  It’s Christmas Eve, Eve!

The Chiefs got a Christmas wish granted last night with the Chargers losing to the Ravens.  Those Ravens look pretty good, and now it is time for the Chiefs to show they are a potential Super Bowl team.  Here is a look at the forecast for the game:

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There is a strong storm just northwest of Seattle.  Of what I have analyzed, it appears there may only be a few showers, a misty drizzle, or even the rain stopping for a while during the game.  Go Chiefs!

A Series of Storm Systems:

Three storm systems are lining up to affect the United States.  The first one is going to track across Kansas and Missouri Monday night, just as we get into Christmas morning around midnight.  There is still a slim possibility of a few snowflakes mixed in, but with south winds I am expecting it to be a bit too warm.  Then, there is a second major storm, and a third one where some of the models have a major snowstorm near Kansas City New Year’s weekend.  Before we get to that second storm, we have this one due in Wednesday and Thursday:

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Some models have around 1/2″ to 1″ of rain in KC, while this one, the GFS model, has much higher amounts.  In fact, I even toned this one down a bit as some of the totals actually reached between 3 and 4 inches. I am not sold on those higher totals yet, although it is a possibility.

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These two maps above show how unreliable any snow prediction will be at this point. This is for next weekend. The FV3 GFS (Top), and the operational GFS model (the map immediately above) show two very different solutions ranging form no snow in KC to 10″ of snow in KC.  We are moving into the part of the cycling pattern that did produce the ending to the snowflake contest where 1″ fell in KC, and also the next storm that produced 9″ of snow in St. Louis.  So, this fits the LRC well, and we just have to see how this version sets up.

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  Go over to the Weather2020 blog for more details and to join in the conversation.  Have a great Sunday!!!  I am at work this morning and again tonight after the game!

Gary

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