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A Record Breaker Today

Good morning bloggers,

Kansas City Weather Time-Line:

  • Today:  Periods of clouds with a few showers or possibly a thunderstorm.  The chance of rain is 60%.  High: 74°
  • Tonight:  Clearing out and mild. Low:  56°
  • Tuesday:  Mostly sunny. High:  81°

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Let’s begin with this look at “Pond Effect” clouds that Sunny The Weather Dog is showing quite well this morning.  Temperatures dropped to a record low of 48° early this morning breaking the old record in Kansas City by 4°.  The cooler air settled over the warmer water causing the warmer moist air in the pond to rise through the cooler air creating the stratus cloud.  I got up early and looked outside and just had to get out there to snap this picture with Sunny. You can see the clouds hovering above the pond.

The current weather pattern:

Screen Shot 2017-06-26 at 7.10.24 AM

This mornings radar map shows that most of the nation is rather calm. There are a few areas of weakly organized showers and thunderstorms. One of these areas was over southwestern Texas, and another one was moving into northwestern Missouri.

Screen Shot 2017-06-26 at 7.10.00 AM

This disturbance is tracking southeast and the showers and a few thunderstorms were growing and increasing as of 7:15 AM. Let’s track them this morning as they approach KC.

Severe Weather Risks Increasing Later This Week:

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The severe weather risks will be increasing the next few days.  This is in response to a storm we have been expecting this week to produce these potential severe weather risks. In our month long forecast for June we targeted this week to be the most active. It appears to be materializing.

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This map above shows the 500 mb forecast map valid at 7 PM Thursday. The dashed line shows a strong summer disturbance developing and tracking across the western high plains. The main storm is forecast to be in southern Canada. This upper flow is ideal for helping create the conditions for the surface pattern to set up favorably for severe thunderstorms. Exactly how it sets up will be something we will go into more detail later in the week.

Summer Heat In The longer range:

Our cycling weather pattern model has been projecting the week after July 4th to be the first big warm up of the summer over the plains.  It has been showing up on some of the models.

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You can see the developing anticyclone. This is a 312 hour forecast map, but just like the storm this week, this part of the pattern is also right on schedule. How hot will it get? Will it be a developing heat wave? We will look deeper into this as well in the coming days.

Have a great Monday and thank you for participating in this weather experience.  You can comment on the Weather2020.com blog. We will be opening comments here within the next week.

Gary

 

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