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A Rapidly Intensifying Tropical Storm Harvey

Good morning bloggers,

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It was 25 years ago today that Hurricane Andrew made landfall in south Florida.  Today, 25 years later we are tracking a strengthening storm.  Tropical Storm Harvey will become a hurricane within the next 24 hours. Conditions are now highly favorable for not just intensification but for rapid intensification. As Harvey approaches Texas it could become a Category 2 storm before it hits, with a slight chance of it intensifying stronger than that level.  Then, something unusual is likely to happen with the track. Conditions are also favorable for the storm to stall near the coast or just inland with a strong possibility of it turning northeast and east. This change in track could bring it back over the warm water and it is something to monitor closely.  This would be a rather rare thing to happen, to have it turn back over the open water. This is highly uncertain at this time, but it fits the pattern to turn east and northeast after it gets just inland.

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This is the European Model forecast position at 1 AM tomorrow night.

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Let’s see how this evolves today. Back here in KC the weather is just spectacular again today. We will look at the set up around the nation in tomorrows blog.  Thank you for sharing in this weather experience. Let’s track this developing hurricane together.

Gary

 

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