Good morning bloggers,
There appears to be a rather significant change in the weather pattern showing up right now. I am not 100% convinced of this, but the trend on the computer models is strong enough where I am now confident that a stronger cold front will move through later in the week. So, I am confident in the stronger cold front, but not necessarily confident that the heat doesn’t return in ten days. Today will be near 100° and then we will be welcoming the cold front on Thursday. This cold front will likely be the strongest one of the summer. We may also see some rain by tomorrow ahead of the front. Take a look at one of the surface forecasts valid Thursday evening:
This forecast map shows, by far, the strongest cold front of the season, and the overnight data continues this trend. The high pressure area over Canada is forecast to expand and spread the cool air deep into the the southern plains states by Thursday night. We showed the forecast high temperature on Friday of 83° last night and this may be too high. The entire weather pattern is trending towards some change. The jet stream reached it’s weakest average strength during this past week and as the days get shorter the jet stream is beginning to get stronger. This has started the slow transition into next year’s weather pattern. Will this change be enough to start bringing us better chances of rain. It is beginning to look that way.
There will be a chance of thunderstorms beginning later tonight into Wednesday night ahead of the late week cold front. I am currently analyzing the data…..and will finish this blog entry later this morning after the new data comes out………….
Have a great Tuesday!