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A Look At Your Snowfall Predictions For The Next Week

Good morning,

First of all I would like to thank everyone for putting out your weather forecasts for the amount of snow ending next Wednesday evening at 6 PM.  I am attaching the list at the bottom of this blog.  And, thank you so much to David Twigg who compiled the list.

A series of storm systems will begin affecting the plains on Friday.   When we are trying to predict snow, we must always realize that predicting amounts three days to seven days in advance is a tricky discipline in meteorology.  Especially in Kansas City.  And, this forecast contest is fun, and we already get our first big twist on the models as the overnight runs provided new and very different solutions.  I went with 7.2″ for the seven days emphasizing the more likely first storm, and the somewhat questionable second and third systems.  So, let’s see how this sets up.  The first one storm is a fast moving disturbance in the upper levels that exits the west coast and races our way on Friday. This is what I showed on the air last night:

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The second and third storm systems have already tracked a bit farther north (the weekend storm), and a bit farther south and more disorganized (the early next week storm).  Try not to get that horrible disease “Modelitis”.  It already has hit many of us where your emotions go up and down with each model run.

Here are the latest models, starting with the Euro, then the FV3 GFS, the GFS, and the Canadian:

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Today will be a much warmer day with our predicted high of 52 degrees.  Let’s discuss the model trends on the Weather2020 blog.

Here is the list of entries from the bloggers (Only people who put down a specific number were included):

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The amounts ranged from no snow from Big Papa Poof to 24.9″ from Joshua.  Good luck.  The winner gets the recognition as the “Best Weather Forecaster Of The Week”.

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Have a great day!

Gary

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