Good Sunday Morning bloggers,
Well, reality has struck this morning, with temperatures in the 20s and wind chills around 10°. This is following a Saturday where highs were in the 60s! See MAP #1.
MAP #1: HIGHS SATURDAY
GREAT WEATHER SATURSDAY!
A first cold front moved through Saturday night. A second cold front will move through this evening, taking our temperatures down another level. Lows will be in the single digits Monday morning with wind chills around 0°. During wind gusts wind chills may fall to -10°. Even though we will have dropped about 60 degrees from Saturday afternoon to Monday morning, it is a dry transition with only a few flurries and very light snow tracking across Iowa. Usually with this kind of weather change there is a storm, but not this time. The drought continues. Hopefully, we will have some kind of a storm January 28-30. If we could get .50″ to 1″ of liquid that would be great, but it will probably be under .50″, like all of the others. We will have more on this the next several days.
See the maps below for the sequence of events later today into Monday.
MAP #2: 530 PM SUNDAY
COLD FRONT #2 ARRIVES
MAP #3: 6 AM MONDAY, WIND CHILLS COULD DROP TO -10° IN WIND GUSTS
WIND CHILLS -10° IN GUSTS
Have a great rest of your weekend and stay warm!
Jeff Penner
Does the gfs still show a storm for us at the end of the month?
That’s 9-10 days away, but it is showing about .5″-.75″ of mostly or only rain for our area. Whoever gets the snow up north will probably get a lot.
Skylar, there is no way to predict whether it will be snow or rain nine days out in January. So saying it shows rain for us and you think a lot of snow up north is fairies and pixidust. Lets what it looks like when it gets about 5-7 days closer.
That’s what I was implying by saying that’s 9-10 days away, but okay. I was just saying what was being shown at that time.
7 day shows single digit lows.
To avoid a tenth consecutive month of below average precipitation, KCI will need to receive 0.82 inches of liquid equivalent precipitation by the end of the month. Given how storms in this pattern have been habitual underachievers, it seems highly unlikely we’ll get that much rain or more out of the storm progged for the 28th-30th.
Latest GFS run hits us with a good dose of snow…216 hours out and counting down to snowmaggedon!
Maybe it will be like this:
“http://rt.com/news/winter-snow-russia-weather-275/”
Russia is having a harsh winter.
Dpollard—-What day is that?
ChiefsFan- 29th into the 30th. Latest run would indicate a transition to all snow by around 222 hours out.
I hope it come true!!!
The weather has been so boring
Kellyinkc – awesome pictures of snow in Russia!
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013012018&time=INSTANT&var=SRATEI&hour=228
Here is what it might look like 228 hrs out. Still a long way away an alot can change but the precip map shows rain turning to snow throughout te day on the 29 into the 30. The temp line once again cuts thru KCMO but temps will be hovering around freezing mark until later that night. I’m not saying it will happen but models have run consistent past few days. And last model had the highest precip totals. At least we have something to track now.
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013012018&time=INSTANT&var=APTMPF&hour=216
Here is the temp line I was talking about this is around 3 o’clock locks in the afternoon. That temp line has stayed pretty consistent as well. So we may get rain then snow. The best if both worlds.
Half glass half full
snow in Britian, Scotland and Ireland too. we need rain sleet snow grapple anything…
We need a good snow to be in the winter mood!
Jeff,
Thanks for the reply, I wasn’t sure I’d we had gone below zero or not. I hope we get a lot of rain or snow out of this next storm. Something really exciting.
“http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer¶m=1000_500_thick&cycle=00&image=gfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_228_1000_500_thick.gif”
0z GFS still has a SnowStorm for us next Wednesday. Still MANY more runs to look at but at least we have something to track