Afternoon Rain


Good afternoon bloggers,

Well, 1″ of rain just fell near KCI Airport.  The amounts are varying, so how much did you receive from this first wave. This is the first wave of energy around the first day of summer storm that is approaching.

The storm is shown above by the arrows I showed on the water vapor satellite . . . → Read More: Afternoon Rain

A Summer Storm On The First Day Of Summer


Good morning bloggers,

Over the weekend we discussed “A strong LRC argument for a wet week ahead”.  The weather pattern is cycling and there is tremendous organization to what seems like chaos in the river of air flowing across the Northern Hemisphere.  You can learn more about by clicking here and reading the peer reviewed paper:  Cycling . . . → Read More: A Summer Storm On The First Day Of Summer

A Strong LRC Argument For It Getting Wet Next Week

Cycle Comparisons Cycles 1 and 6

Good morning bloggers,

The weather pattern is cycling as described by the LRC.  We started this blog in 2002, and we began sharing my hypothesis with the bloggers, some of whom have been reading the blog from the start.  If you remember, I called it “the theory”, or my theory.  The early bloggers saw that there was . . . → Read More: A Strong LRC Argument For It Getting Wet Next Week

The Second Half Of July Will Be Interesting


Good morning bloggers,

“Interesting” is something we have had almost non stop with this pattern. “Frustrating” is what we have experienced if you live near KC.  So, Interesting and Frustrating has been the theme since this pattern started in October.  There have been many times, from October through today, where we have had models shown some exciting . . . → Read More: The Second Half Of July Will Be Interesting

Heating Up & Looking For Moisture

Screen Shot 2018-06-14 at 7.06.04 AM

Good morning bloggers,

Temperatures will be heating up the next few days.  It hasn’t hit 100° officially at KCI Airport since September 8, 2013.  I thought for sure it would happen last summer, but it always fell short. I believe the hottest temperature a year ago was 98°.  Will we do it this summer? It will likely . . . → Read More: Heating Up & Looking For Moisture

Where Is The Rain?


Good morning bloggers,

When this weather pattern set up last October it didn’t seem that it was going to be this bad.  Looking back, the signs were there by the end of November.  But, to predict how the drought set up and expanded in a strange way from the southwestern United States to a narrowing point over . . . → Read More: Where Is The Rain?

Slight Risk Of Severe Weather Tonight


4 PM Update:

A Tornado Watch was issued for northwestern Missouri later this afternoon. We will be monitoring this are closely. The main severe weather risk type is damaging winds later this evening.

The risk is definitely there, but there are still many questions on how this will evolve. We will go over the details on 41 Action . . . → Read More: Slight Risk Of Severe Weather Tonight

Last Nights Thunderstorm Complex Was Hit & Miss Again

Screen Shot 2018-06-12 at 6.58.20 AM

Good morning bloggers,

Well, I just checked my rain gauge.  And, I was lucky to get the 0.42″ of rain.  As, it came at the last minute, just around 1 AM as thunderstorms grew over the south part of the KC metro area. There are spots that likely had a lot less.  KCI Airport only had 0.41″, . . . → Read More: Last Nights Thunderstorm Complex Was Hit & Miss Again

Are You Ready for Some Thunderstorms?


Good Sunday bloggers,

Saturday afternoon and evening we did have a few thunderstorms in northern Missouri, but they were few and far between. These are not drought busters. We need several rounds of widespread rain and thunderstorms and this pattern is not capable of producing widespread rain.

We have a set up Monday night for thunderstorms, but again, . . . → Read More: Are You Ready for Some Thunderstorms?

Hard to Explain


Good Saturday bloggers,

Well, this morning, once again, we tracked a functional and large MCS (Mesoscale Convective System) from South Dakota to Nebraska before it went poof in eastern Kansas. This is not the first time this has happened this season and it will likely not be the last. We are in the same pattern from the . . . → Read More: Hard to Explain