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July Ends Cool

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Good morning bloggers,

Tropical Storm Emily has formed just off the west coast of Florida.  This system will not have the conditions or the time to strengthen as she moves over the Florida Peninsula and out into the Atlantic. Here is the forecast from the National Hurricane Center:

Emily, quite obviously, will be a low impact tropical system. . . . → Read More: July Ends Cool

The Weather Calms Down As July Comes To An End

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Good Sunday Bloggers,

In today’s Sunday blog we are going to share with you our experimental model for KC and Seattle, WA. Let’s begin with our experimental precipitation forecast model.  This first graph shows the probabilities for each day in August

We have blended all previous cycles to see how a blend would work, and we have had . . . → Read More: The Weather Calms Down As July Comes To An End

Great Summer Weather and Growing Drought

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Good Saturday bloggers,

We are getting a nice break from the extreme humidity and thunderstorms as a surface high pressure sits over the western Great Lakes.  There will be thunderstorms this weekend in the region, but they will stay across the high Plains.

KANSAS CITY SECTION:

SATURDAY: The weather will be spectacular as we will have just a few . . . → Read More: Great Summer Weather and Growing Drought

High Pressure Expands: Calm Weather

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Good morning bloggers,

It’s FRIDAY!  We hope everyone is enjoying this summer. This weekend will be one of the quietest weekends of weather this year.  It has been a rather entertaining summer of weather thus far and I will enjoy this break. As July comes to an end the jet stream will be reaching its weakest strength . . . → Read More: High Pressure Expands: Calm Weather

A Flooding Rain Event In KC This Morning

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Good morning bloggers,

We had a flooding rain event last night and the factors that lead up to it were predictable and incredible.  Our weather team picked out a monsoon wave that formed on Monday near the California/Nevada border.  This wave clearly developed and intensified and rotated around the “heat wave creating machine” or anticyclone.  The wave . . . → Read More: A Flooding Rain Event In KC This Morning

Evening Update: A Shift In Thinking For Tonight

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Good evening bloggers,

Kansas City Weather Time-Line:

Now – 8 PM: One band of rain without thunder or lightning moves across. High humidity with temperatures and dew points near 78 degrees
8 PM -4 AM: A few heavy thunderstorms are possible
4 AM – 10 AM: Heavy thunderstorms are likely in the area with 1″ to 4″ possible

The monsoon disturbance . . . → Read More: Evening Update: A Shift In Thinking For Tonight

Looking At Today’s Set-Up

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Good morning bloggers,

Kansas City Weather Time-Line:

Now to 1 PM:  A chance of showers and thunderstorms with no risk of any severe weather. This chance is highest north of KC, but a few showers or thunderstorms may drift into the area later this morning
1 PM – 7 PM:  The first band of rain moves by and it . . . → Read More: Looking At Today’s Set-Up

Analyzing This Next Chance Of T-Storms

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Good morning bloggers,

The weather pattern is quite interesting as we move into the middle of the week. This summer has been rather fascinating as the pattern continues to cycle regularly.  The same pattern that set up last fall continues, and it is reaching its weakest strength during these next two weeks. The jet stream reaches its . . . → Read More: Analyzing This Next Chance Of T-Storms

Huge July Rainfall Differences

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Good morning bloggers,

Rainfall has varied greatly and in rather short distances near Kansas City.  The rainfall amounts across the corn belt have also varied greatly. On this rainfall amount total list below you can see that near Kansas City the rainfall amounts have varied from 0.60″ at KCI Airport to 6.52″ in Overland Park, KS. These . . . → Read More: Huge July Rainfall Differences

Heat Wave Ends with a Bang!

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Good Sunday bloggers,

KANSAS CITY SECTION:

I hope you did not lose power last night and if you did that it has come back on or will come back on ASAP.  We had a weak front along I-70 as a disturbance drifted east out of western Kansas,  These features interacted with about as much atmospheric juice you can . . . → Read More: Heat Wave Ends with a Bang!