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175 mph Winds In The Category 5 Hurricane Irma Threatens Florida

Good morning bloggers,

SAT_ATL_VIS

Major Hurricane Irma has become a category 5 storm today on the Saffir-Simpson scale:

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Irma has reached the top level on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Irma is taking the more favored southern track, a track that was not even on any of the spaghetti plots from just two days ago. It was the track I was forecasting as the most likely one to take, but we are still wondering when the turn to the north will occur:

120644_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

The models are now varying from the Canadian model that takes Irma into the Gulf of Mexico, to the GFS that now takes it to near Miami and up the east coast of Florida to Georgia and South Carolina. The European Model now takes the middle path and goes right up the heart of Florida blasting Key West with way too powerful of a storm for that area to handle.

Irma has now reached that category 5 level with the 175 mph winds. It is forecast to strengthen further with the pressure dropping to ridiculously low levels.  The pressure is forecast to drop to 26.37″ or 893 mb by the GFS model on Saturday. This would likely be an even stronger Category 5 Hurricane at this point.  Some of the other models have the pressures even lower.

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Let’s see how the models trend today. Thank you for sharing in this Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the Cycling Pattern Hypothesis. Let us know if you have any questions or comments. Our discussion has been taking place over on Weather2020.com.

Gary

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